The RBS and the Lloyds will return to their good times in 2012

Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc and Lloyds Banking Group Plc (LLOY) are set to post losses for 2011 this week before returning to profit as the state-controlled U.K. banks cut thousands of jobs and finish a series of write downs.

RBS may witness a total loss of 1.1 billion pounds ($1.75 billion) for the 12 months to Dec. 31 and post an 887 million- pound profit for 2012, according to the median guesstimate of 13 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Lloyds is estimated to report a 2.6 billion-pound loss for 2011 and a 1.5 billion-pound profit for 2012, according to a split survey of 12 analysts.

Lloyds would have returned to profit last year if it hadn’t set aside 3.2 billion pounds to reimburse customers who were shockingly sold personal-loan insurance, while RBS’s defeat would have been narrower without a 950 million-pound charge for similar insurance sales. RBS has stated 6,800 job reductions since August.

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The European Union ministers reach agreement on Greek Bailout

Euro-area finance ministers have come to conclusion on a second rescue package for Greece that is imperative to staving off a default next month. The deal comprises a 53.5 percent write down for investors in Greek bonds, Luxembourg’s Jean-Claude Juncker, who led the meeting, told reporters early this morning. Debt-swap bonds will have a coupon of 2 percent in 2014, increasing to 3 percent in 2015- 2020 and to 4.3 percent after that, he said.

Finance ministers haggled into the night in Brussels over the terms of new loans to Greece and a possible contribution by central banks, and leaned on investors to accept bigger write- offs in a bond exchange. Ministers were discussing a Greek debt target of 121 percent of gross domestic product by 2020.

European Central Bank President Mario Draghi called the deal “a very good agreement.” Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti said private bondholders agreed to take a bigger write-off on their Greek debt after powerful negotiations.

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The Growing Stocks grows the most in two weeks in China

Emerging-market stocks rose, heading for the biggest gain in almost two weeks, after a Chinese pledge to help resolve Europe’s debt emergency boosted demand for higher- yielding assets. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index (MXEF) advanced 1.2 percent to 1,059.75 as of 11:13 a.m. in London, heading for the major gain since Feb. 2. Chinese stocks listed on Hong Kong’s Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) climbed 2.4 percent. The BSE India Sensitive Index, or Sensex, gained 2 percent. The ISE National 100 Index gained 1.1 percent in Turkey and the Micex Index advanced 0.9 percent in Moscow.

People’s Bank of China Governor Zhou Xiaochuan said China can give Europe with assistance via avenues including the central bank and its sovereign wealth fund. The leaders of Greece’s two biggest political parties will provide written commitments to budget cuts, a government official said in Athens. Europe is the biggest market for Chinese exports.

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New Bank of England stimulus prompted by Downside risk

Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said policy makers added stimulus this month because they judged that there was a “downside” risk of inflation slowing too far beyond the 2 percent goal.

“The committee’s best collective judgment is that CPI price rises will carry on to fall back to around the goal by the end of 2012,” King said in a letter to Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne unrestricted by the central bank in London today. Officials decided this month that “in the absence of further policy action, the balance of risks around the inflation target in the medium term lay to the downside.”

King’s comments follow the publication of data showing that inflation slowed to the weakest in 14 months in January, and last week’s move by policy makers to pump another 50 billion pounds ($79 billion) into the economy. With inflation at 3.6 percent still beyond the upper limit targeted by the central bank, the governor is grateful to write to the government explaining the deviation and what he will do about it.

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The American Future Stocks Rises in the Greek Austerity

U.S. stock futures rose, signaling the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index will rebound from its first weekly drop of 2012, as Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos won endorsement for austerity measures needed to obtain rescue funds.

Bank of America Corp. (BAC), the second-largest lender in the U.S., advanced in early New York trading, while Citigroup Inc. (C) climbed in German trading. Apple Inc. (AAPL) rose 1.2 percent.   Futures on the S&P 500 expiring in March rallied 0.7 percent to 1,349.5 at 6:42 a.m. in New York. Dow Jones Industrial standard futures failing the same month gained 73 points, or 0.6 percent, to 12,840.

“We still think you should buy stocks,” Laszlo Birinyi, president of Birinyi Associates Inc., said in a Bloomberg Television interview in London today. “It’s a extension of the bull market and we’re encouraged by what we are seeing in Europe. I look at the markets, I find they are strong. There’s real buying going on. This is not short-covering or a provisional or passing thing.”

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The S & P 500 breaks on the Five week continuous advance

U.S. stocks fell; snapping a five- week-rally for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, on concern that plans to help Greece avoid default were unraveling and as confidence among American consumers dropped more than forecast.

Citigroup Inc. (C) and Bank of America Corp. (BAC) retreated more than 1.3 percent to pace declines among financial companies. Commodity producers slumped as Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX), Alcoa Inc. (AA) and Halliburton Co. (HAL) decreased at least 1.9 percent. First Solar Inc. (FSLR), the largest maker of thin-film solar panels, tumbled 10 percent after allowing issues postponed a U.S. loan assurance for a power plant in California.

The S&P 500 slashed 0.7 percent to 1,342.64 as of 4 p.m. New York time, the most since Dec. 28. The benchmark gauge has fallen 0.2 percent since Feb. 3, snapping the longest weekly rally since January 2011. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased 89.23 points, or 0.7 percent, to 12,801.23 today.

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The Euribor drops to the longest run for thirty months

The price at which European banks say they notice each other lending in Euros for three months dropped for a 36th day, the longest run of declines in 2 1/2 years, as record borrowing from the central bank eased funding costs.

The euro interbank offered rate, or Euribor, for such loans dropped 0.7 basis point, or 0.007 percentage point, to 1.07 percent, according to data from the European Banking Federation. That’s the longest run of losses since August 2009, and is the lowest rate since January 2011, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The rate has fallen every day since the European Central Bank selected a record 489 billion Euros ($650 billion) of three-year loans to 523 banks on Dec. 21 to keep credit flowing amid the region’s sovereign debt crisis. The ECB plans to grasp a second longer-term refinancing operation for such loans on Feb. 28, with full allotment a day later. It will probably keep the main refinancing rate at a record-low 1 percent today.

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The American Consumer credit jumped by 19.3 US billion Dollars

The customer borrowing in the U.S. grew more than forecast in December, driven by demand for auto and student loans. The Credit increased by $19.3 billion to $2.5 trillion, Federal Reserve figures showed today in Washington. The gain topped the $7 billion median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News and followed a $20.4 billion progress the previous month.

Consumers “are willing to take on this debt because there is some increasing degree of confidence in the economy,” said Ken Mayland, president of Clear View Economics LLC in Pepper Pike, Ohio, who anticipated credit would go up by $15 billion, the maximum in the Bloomberg survey. At the same time, growing reliance on credit may be indications the gains in employment have yet to push wages high enough to single- handedly give consumers the means to keep shopping.

The median estimate was based on a survey of 37 economists. Estimates ranged from a decrease of $8 billion to a raise of $15 billion.

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The Americans are becoming energy independent

The U.S. is the nearby it has been in almost 20 years to attaining energy self-sufficiency, a objective the nation has been pursuing since the 1973 Arab oil embargo triggered a recession and led to lines at gasoline stations.

Domestic oil production is the maximum in the eight years. The U.S. is producing so much natural gas that, where the government warned four years ago of a serious need to increase imports, it now may endorse an export terminal. Methanex Corp., the world’s major methanol maker, said it will dismantle a factory in Chile and rebuild it in Louisiana to take advantage of low natural gas prices. And higher mileage standards and federally mandated ethanol use, along with slow economic growth, have curbed demand.

The result: The U.S. has reversed a two-decade-long decline in energy independence, increasing the proportion of demand met from domestic sources over the last six years to an estimated 81 percent through the first 10 months of 2011, according to data compiled by Bloomberg from the U.S. Department of Energy.

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Morgan Stanley takes leading status with the Facebook

Morgan Stanley (MS) will take the show the way on Facebook Inc.’s $5 billion preliminary community contribution, cementing the bank’s status as the top underwriter for U.S. Internet IPOs.  JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS), Bank of America Corp. (BAC), Barclays Plc (BARC) and Allen & Co. also will help with the sale, Facebook announced in a file today with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Morgan Stanley, listed first in the filing, stands to earn a larger share of the fees composed by securities firms for assembling the IPO.

To set selected for the IPO is a takeover for Morgan Stanley and Michael Grimes, the global co-head of the bank’s technology investment banking unit. The securities firm won the biggest share of business underwriting U.S. initial offers by Internet companies last year, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Taking the lead on Facebook, the world’s largest social-networking service, can propel the New York-based bank to first position in the United States.

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